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macro-economic research report

Why So Sad?

Trying to make investment decisions while operating in a vacuous state is like trying to win at poker with a deck that keeps reshuffling itself mid-hand. A stray comment from a central banker, a vague tweet from a billionaire President, haphazard tariff headlines...

macro-economic research report

Potomac Fever

The forecasting business is premised on the position that “what-was-will-continue-to-be!” Within that framework, economists review historical precedents and assign probabilities to potential outcomes. The idea that predicting macro-economic outcomes is more art...