The forecasting business is premised on the position that “what-was-will-continue-to-be!” Within that framework, economists review historical precedents and assign probabilities to potential outcomes. The idea that predicting macro-economic outcomes is more art...

Trumpcession? As we listen to President Trump’s tariff “jibber jabber” (the classic line from the hit show Boston Legal), we bear witness to a masterful example of speaking much and saying little! Think of the noise as an unscripted comedy that is all about...

Canada is gearing up for a trade war which, in many ways, feels like an episode of Three Stooges

You can’t miss it… the metaphorical elephant in the room. That outsized awkward issue that we pretend not to see.