MID 2025 OUTLOOK Cue the music as we pay homage to the Eagle’s classic Hotel California. Where the ‘dark desert highway’ leads to a shimmering light cascading on an economic labyrinth that could be heaven or hell! Enter the Tiffany-twisted consumer and her pretty,...

Trying to make investment decisions while operating in a vacuous state is like trying to win at poker with a deck that keeps reshuffling itself mid-hand. A stray comment from a central banker, a vague tweet from a billionaire President, haphazard tariff headlines...

The forecasting business is premised on the position that “what-was-will-continue-to-be!” Within that framework, economists review historical precedents and assign probabilities to potential outcomes. The idea that predicting macro-economic outcomes is more art...

Trumpcession? As we listen to President Trump’s tariff “jibber jabber” (the classic line from the hit show Boston Legal), we bear witness to a masterful example of speaking much and saying little! Think of the noise as an unscripted comedy that is all about...